下半年楼市大猜想 二线城市房价还会继续涨吗

润物无声  2016-07-20 16:36

[摘要] 2016已经过去一大半，下半年楼市怎么走？房价会不会涨？政策怎么走？不妨看看业内专家的解读！

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;COLOR: rgb(255,76,65);PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">问题1：二线城市还能继续疯长？

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">答案是：会！

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">上半年，楼市四小龙横空出世，国家统计局新数据显示，6月合肥南京的房价上涨趋势依然十分明显。
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">二线城市的省会城市轮番上涨现象初现端倪，购房者需注意防范！

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;COLOR: rgb(255,76,65);PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">问题2：政策还会继续宽松下去吗？

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">答案是：会！

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">但可能会适时适地收紧。
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">考虑到当前市场仍然面临巨大库存压力，今年下半年楼市政策整体保持宽松态势的可能性极大。
RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px"/>

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">不过在“分类调控、因城施策”的总体调控思路下，过热城市，调控有可能会收紧，目前很多的热点城市也已经开始收紧，楼市也出现降温的现象。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;COLOR: rgb(255,76,65);PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">问题3：一线城市是否再起涨潮？

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">答案是：没机会大涨。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">
RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px"/>

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">一线城市房价会不会涨，答案是肯定的。基于目前一线城市可售房源严重不足的事实，后续房价将继续上涨。
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">受制于政策调控的一线城市，房价涨势已经放缓，但当前供不应求局面并未改变，所以房价仍有望上涨。
RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px"/>

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">但受相应政策调控的影响，增幅或继续收窄，因此基本没有可能会大涨。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;COLOR: rgb(255,76,65);PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">问题4：豪宅热到何时？

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">答案是：可能到今年年底。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">
RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px"/>

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">据悉，上海的有楼盘的单价超过了34万/平！
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">投资渠道的缺失，以及改善型需求的放量，使得市场对豪宅的需求进一步放量。不过预计这种情形还会持续一段时间至今年年底，等待市场需求完全释放之后，会逐渐趋于平稳。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;COLOR: rgb(255,76,65);PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">问题5：“地王”再次批量出现？

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">答案是：不会！RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">但个别的拦不住。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">
RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px"/>

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">上半年的地王现象可谓是“惊世骇俗”。观察上半年的“地王”现象，特点非常明显，不仅数量多，而且溢价率也很高。
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">不过地方政府已经关注到了这种现象，已经出手干预。
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">如苏州、南京推出“熔断”措施，合肥出台政策调整土地价款缴纳时间。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">虽然地方政府对于土地财政的依赖程度在短期内不会降低，但出于民生考虑也不会允许地价上涨过快，所以在今年下半年还会有“地王”出现，但大规模出现的可能性会已经不大。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;COLOR: rgb(255,76,65);PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">问题6：房企座次是否发生变化？

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">答案是：会！RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">但变化不大。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">
RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px"/>

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">数据显示，今年上半年，万科继续排名榜首，有可能会捍卫老大地位。紧随其后的是恒大地产。这与前一两年保持一致。
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">但也有新面孔挤进前十，比如碧桂园、融创。也有滑落比较快的，如万达。
RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px"/>

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">强者恒强，房企变化不会很大。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;COLOR: rgb(255,76,65);PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">问题7：楼市放缓加剧？

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">答案是：会！RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">但不会加剧放缓！RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">
RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px"/>

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">政策刺激推动下的房地产市场复苏可能无法持久，并有可能在今年三季度迎来转折点。不过考虑到当前政府仍在致力于去库存，所以不太可能会允许放缓加剧，并导致出现新一轮的低潮。

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">
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RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;COLOR: rgb(255,76,65);PADDING-: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">问题8：房价会继续上涨吗？

RD-WRAP: break-word !important;WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap;COLOR: rgb(62,62,62);CLEAR: both;WORD-SPACING: 0px;PADDING-: 0px;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">答案是：上涨是肯定的！RD-WRAP: break-word !important;PADDING-: 0px">但涨幅会较之上半年趋缓。

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